Friday, December 02, 2022

#episode4- Significant Actions - Secure Energy Supplies - Big Nations

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  • #episode 4 -  
  • SIGNIFICANT ACTIONS - SECURE ENERGY SUPPLIES 

We observe Significant Actions, done by certain respective Nation, or Group of Nations, to secure their energy supplies, due to the Shortage of Gas, High Prices of the Gas and Oil, Food and Fertilizer Shortage, High Inflation, Extreme Global Change, which was the direct impact of the Russian - Ukrainian War Crisis) attaching it to the Geopolitics issues.

  • USA UNILITERAL ANNOUNCES RELEASE 50 MILLION BARRELS OF OIL FROM THE STRATEGIC RESERVE TO LOWER PRICES FOR AMERICANS. 

JOE BIDEN onNovember23,2021, had announced that the Department of Energy will make available releases of50 million barrels of Oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve to lower the prices for Americans.

It is indicated that within the Internal Politics aspect in USA, Joe Bidenwantedto secureits electability fortheMidtermElections as well as the 2024 Elections in theSenate- House of Representatives as well as the Presidential Elections 2024 in the United States.

This Uniliteral action by the USA, had great impact to the Opec Oil Producers Especially Saudi Arabia, whose State's Budget revenue depends on the selling of its respective Oil Production. 

In response Saudi Arabia led Oil Cartel OPEC's announcement on October 5th, 2022, that it was cutting 2 (Two) million barrels per day, which drive up the oil price just a month before Midterm Elections causing JOE BIDEN upset and angry.

The Democrats in Washington was accusing Russia Saudi of aligning itself with Russia. 

Remarks :

So there are 2(two) Significant Actions made by USA, in releasing50million Oil from its Strategy Petroleum Strategic,andresponded by Saudi Arabia,ledcartel OpecOil Produces,whereSaudi cut 2 Million Barrels of Oil per day,whichsuch SignificantActions were both made to Secure both of its Energy Supplies.
 
However, sincethis Actions was made due to Shortage of the Global Oil causing Increase Price of the Oil. which emergedue theIncreasing Escalation Geo- Politics Tensions between Russia Versus NATO, EU, Western Countries led byUSA withinthe Ukraine Hemisphere. it isreally impactingthe Global Oil Price in Oil Market.

In the Mainstream Media, Joe Biden, emphasized that Saudi Arabia would bear the consequences.

  • GERMANY FLOATING LNG TERMINAL.

FIRST FLOATING LNG TERMINAL COMPLETED 

We noticed from the media, that Germany has completed the speedy construction of infrastructure and leasing of The First Floating LNG Terminal which was to receive Liquid Natural Gas (LNG) tsecure its energy supplies over the coming winter months.

          THE FIRST JETTY COMPLETED IN NORTHERN GERMANY - Wilhelmshaven. 

The first jetty for arrival of LNG has been completed in Northern Germany Wilhelmshaven, with first delivery set to arrive in Mid-January 2023.

                   JETTY ALLOWS MOORING OF THE FIRST COMPLETED FRSU 

The Jetty will allow the mooring of a special ship - a floating storage and regasification Unit ("FSRU"), which collects the LNG from the LNG Tankers and regasifies it before feeding it to the pipeline on land. 

that prior to the end of 2022, the First FSRU is due to be in operation to regasify LNG, arriving from the LNG Tankers from around the world.

The First FRSU, called the Esperanza is scheduled to arrive with a full load in about a month to be unloaded.

  • GERMANY WORKING FOR RENTING  5 (Five) Floating LNG terminals. 

 The German government is working for renting 5 (Five) Floating LNG Terminals to import Liquid Natural Gas (LNG), so called Floating Storage and Regasification Units (FRSU).   

  • TWICE THE COST OF THE ESTIMATE BUDGET 2022

It is indicated from our research on the Website, including Reuter, that the whole project is currently budgeted: 

at Euro 6.56 billion up from Euro3 billion on the 2022 Budget, which figure was confirmed by the Ministry according to Reuters.

  • GERMAN SEEKS ALTERNATIVE LNG SOURCES 

This is to seek alternative to Russian Pipeline Nord Stream, where Germany had relied for years until supplies was stopped due to the Russian and Ukrainian War Crisis.

A pier at Wilhelmshaven has been expanded to provide a mooring place for a Floating LNG Storage Facilities and Regasification Unit (FSRU), which is the central component for Transporting LNG vis sea and transferring to the land.

  • CAPACITY VOLUME OF EACH FSRU 

According to the news, the German government is working to make available:

5 (Five) Floating LNG Terminals in the German Ports, each having capacity of at least 5 (Five) Billion M3 Per Year.               

The Terminal at Wilhelmshaven, and another at Brunsbuttel, are scheduled to be operational early Next Year 2023.   

The 3rd and 4th Floating LNG Terminal to be opened at the Ports of Stade and Lubmin, are expected operational by the end of 2023.

A green Member in of the German Parliament in the Budgetary Committee said the costs and the risks of the LNG projects needs more clarification.  

From our research in the Websites, it indicates there are 60 FSRU existing worldwide, many of them are in a long-term deployment.

  • CHINA and Qatar SIGN LNG LONG TERM CONTRACT worth $60bn  
  • QATAR to send Sinopec 4 (FOUR) million tons of LNG per Year from 2026
  • Agreement made as China Seeks to Bolster Energy Security
    • QATAR RESPONSE USA UNILATERAL ACTION

In response to the latest situation as impact arising from the Russian-Ukraine Crisis War, where USA Unilaterally releases 50 million barrels out of its Strategic Oil Reserves, Qatar had signed with China a Long-Term LNG Contract, on November 21, 2022 as reportedly REUTERS.

In this event, Qatar's Energy State Owned Petroleum Company, was represented by the Qatar's Energy Minister and Head of Qatar Energy, and Sinopec was represented by Ma Yongsheng, Sinopec's Chairman.  

This Long-Term LNG Supply Contracts is one of the Country's largest in terms of Volume.   


 

      

Thursday, December 01, 2022

#episode3 - NATO - Training 10,000 Ukrainian Troops Annually for more th...

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NATO was Training the average of 10,000 Ukrainian Troops Annually for more than 8 years since 2014 as cited by Daniel Michaels in the Wall Street Journal dated April 13, 2022.

There is sort of a Window between 2014 and 2022.

  • MAIDAN DEMONSTRATION - 2014 Starting December 2013.


In the year 2014 there was the "Maidan Demonstration" at theMaidan Square (Independence Square)at the city of Kyiv, Ukraine, which erupts into Riots.

The Demonstrations occupied the Parliament Hall in Kyiv, where they demanded for the resignation of the Pro - Russian Ukrainian President.

The Ukraine Pro – Russian President fled outside the Country.

  • ANNEXATION OF CRIMEA By RUSSIA

Putin was outrage by such overthrow of the Pro - Russian - Ukrainian President and spontaneously,ordered the Russian Military to invade Crimea, claiming to protect the RussianEthnics, who speaksRussian livingin the Eastern Ukraine in Crimea. Putin also claims the Annexation of Crimea was to protect CrimeaSignificantMilitaryAssets

    • REFERENDUM TO JOIN RUSSIA 

Crimea Parliament scheduled referendum to join Russia on March 16, 2014.

The result of the Referendum was 97% of the Voters, choose joining Russia.

The Local Interim Government of Ukraine in Kyiv object such Referendum. 

  • U.S. and EU IMPOSED SANCTIONS

United States and EU did not recognize such Referendum Results and imposed asset freeze and travel bans against numerous of Russian Officials and members of the Crimean Parlaiment who promoted the Referendum. 

Accordingly, there was a Big Differences of perception between Russian and the USA, Western European Countries relating to the Crimea issue.  

  • NATO BUKHAREST SUMMIT APRIL 3RD, 2008

It goes back to NATO BUKHAREST SUMMIT APRIL 3RD, 2008NATO's Final Declaration inviting Georgia and Ukraine to join NATO members

  • NEUTRAL ZONE

Putin was struggling for Ukraine to be a Neutral Zone, since Ukraine is close to the Potential Natural Gas Deposit Well owned by Russia within the Russian Territory.

  • NATURAL GAS PIPELINE TRANSMISSION

 By History Russia was supplying its Natural Gas from its Potential Natural Gas Well to German and the West European and East European Countries Via the Nord Stream 1 Pipeline.  

                             NORD STREAM 1 was completed and run-in operation since 2011 - 2012 

  • Germany depends on 40% of its Natural Gas from Russia.
  • Other Western European Countries were also relying on 40% of its Natural Gas from Russia, except Holland, which has its own Natural Gas Resources in Groningen.

NORD STREAM 2  

NORD STREAM 2 Pipeline NaturalGas was constructed, Company finance 50% - 51%, by a Joint Venture Company consisting ofGazprom(State Oil Gas Company) - Majority 51% and the remaining are owned by Western Oil Gas Private Company, Shell(Joint Venture Holland and British Joint Venture,Enim(French Private Oil Gas Company),Uniper - Wintershall(Germany Oil Gas Private Company,OMV(Austrian Private Oil Gas Company).

  • NATO SUMMIT BUKHAREST April 3rd, year 2008 
Putin emphasizedthat the NATO Expansion from West Europe towards the East Europe,particularly Ukraine, who was invited to be a member of NATO, in the NATO'sSUMMIT BUKHAREST HUNGARY, April 3, 2008, thrua:

NATO's FINAL Declaration : 

was a "Real Direct Threat" to its National Security Interest, since Ukraine is in the Border line of the Russian Potential Natural Gas Well owned by Russia located within the Territory of Russia. 

  • WASHINGTON ELITE POLITICS REJECTED NORD STREAM 2 Project

The Washington Elite Politics rejects and object the Construction NORD STREAM 2 Project from the very start, from the Era of Obama, Trump until Joe Biden Administration. 

U.S. imposed sanctions to the Construction Companies building such NORD STREAM 2 below   the Baltic Sea. 

  • REAL CONTRADICTORY AND DILEMMA

Each and every Countries, where the Big Oil Gas Private Oil Gas Companies abovementioned, being member of the Joint Venture Company, with GazProm (Russia State Oil Company) as the Majority Shareholders,

are members of

NATO and EU, for which we are all facing a Real Contradictory and Dilemma situation, where High Tension of Geopolitics elements, among the Big Nations are highly involved.

Based on the information we get from Daniel Michaels in the Wall Street Journal dated April 13, 2022., it shows that:

 even though "De Jure" Ukraine is not NATO Member, however "De Jure" NATO (and its Allies led by USA), assist 10,000 Ukrainian Troops Annually for 8 Years since 2014.    

 HEGEMONY IN THE FOSSIL FUEL ENERGY

The above Washington Elite Politics Rejection & Imposing Sanctions on the Construction of Nord Stream 2 as described above, strongly indicates that :

the Washington's Elit Politics are considering Russian Potential Natural Gas, which supplies Natural Gas to Western Europe and Eastern Europe are threatening USA Hegemony in the Fossil Fuel Energy in the Western Hemisphere of Western Europe and Eastern Europe.  

 CONCLUSION:

Both the USA and Russia are engaged   in Highly Escalated Cold War: 

where USA wanted to avoid Russia being the winner in being the Major Supplier of the Natural Gas to Western Europe and Eastern Europe. 

Whereas on the other side, Russia is claiming and struggling that Ukraine to be a Neutral Zone, since the: 

  • NATO Summit 2008,
  • the "Maidan Square Revolution" in the year 2014 which overthrew Pro-Russian, Ukrainian President, and
  • NATO's (and its Allies led by USA) Ukrainian Training at least 10,000 Troops, annually, for more than years since 2014, as illustrated by: Daniel Michaels in the Wall Street Journal dated April 13, 2022.

 Jakarta December 2, 2022

#AgungSupomoSuleiman



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