#episode5 - EU, G7, Australia - CAP PRICE on RUSSIAN OIL at USD 60 per barrel

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#episode5 USA, EU and the G 7 Countries and Australia agrees:

To introduce an Oil Price Cap of all purchases on Russia Oil-USD 60 Dollars per barrel, on seaborn Oil from Russia, transported by sea to be effective on Monday December 5 th, 2022.

27 Nations of the EU has agreed to impose this Oil Price Cap.

Ursula von der Leyen, EU President Commission says :

G7 /EU and Western Countries prohibits the Insurance Company to Cover Insurance Coverage upon

Ships/Tankers who are carrying this Crude Oil Purchased from Russia, which Purchase Price does not :

· impose this OIL Price Cap of USD 60 Dollars,

INSTRUMENT TOOL FOR ECONOMIC  WARFARE

We observe G7, EU, Australia, and their Western Partners are driving the prohibitions of marine insurance coverage for vessels and cargo as an instrument tool for economy warfare.

It is a customary business commercial accepted practice, that Insurance Coverage is mandatory for all Ships carrying Crude Oil around the World, to avoid and mitigate any and all kind of Losses, Liabilities, upon the Vessel, including, tankers which are carrying Huge Tons of Crude Oil through the Ocean International Waters

So the Western Countries, in practice has control monopoly on the Global Shipping Insurance Company including D'LOYD, London

All Global Shipping Insurance Company are based in USA and Europe. 

This also include risks during war time such as occurring in Ukraine.

Without this Insurance Coverage, the Ship carrying Crude Oil are not allowed to leave the Sea Harbor  Port.

INSURANCE COMPANY ARE PROHIBITED TO Cover Insurance Coverage.

Ursula Von Der Leyen, says that this Oil Price Cap has 3 Aims  :

1.Strengthen the effect of EU Sanctions against Russia

2.It will further diminish Russia's Income from selling Crude Oil.

3.Stabilize the Global Oil Price Market

The Price Cap will allow Non-EU to continue imports of Seaborne Russian Crude Oil, however, Insurance Company are prohibited to Cover the Insurance Coverage upon such Ships who carried such Oil from Russia, exceeding the Imposed Oil Cap of USD 60 Dollars.

The Western countries says that it will stabilize the Oil Price, and it will help the developing countries to cope with the Inflation problem

USA/G7/EU/Australia are ESCALATING ECONOMIC WARFARE

The USA, G 7, EU and Australia are escalating the Economic Warfare against Russia.

·      RUSSIA RESPONSE

Russia in response says that it does not want to sell the Oil to the Countries who are imposing this Oil Price CAP.

We will wait Russia's further reaction, 

• REMARKS : 

• At the present moment, we observed, from the Social Media, that India and the Peoples Republic of China already purchased Crude Oil from Russia on a 40% discount Price given by Russia, around USD 65 per barrel. 


• This was because India and the People's Republic of China was abstained during the United Nations Voting with respect to Russia Military Troops entering Ukraine on February 24, 2022
• 
  
• Based on the above prohibitions, imposed to the Insurance Companies.
• 
  
•  It is predicted that countries who are purchasing Crude Oil from Russia, with the process exceeding the above USD 60 Oil Cap per barrel, such as India and China who buys the Oil Price of USD 65, will face difficulties in seeking the Major Insurance Coverage from Reputable Insurance Company outside the Major Western Insurance Companies.

 

 

#episode4- Significant Actions - Secure Energy Supplies - Big Nations

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• #episode 4 -  
• SIGNIFICANT ACTIONS - SECURE ENERGY SUPPLIES 

We observe Significant Actions, done by certain respective Nation, or Group of Nations, to secure their energy supplies, due to the Shortage of Gas, High Prices of the Gas and Oil, Food and Fertilizer Shortage, High Inflation, Extreme Global Change, which was the direct impact of the Russian - Ukrainian War Crisis) attaching it to the Geopolitics issues.

• USA UNILITERAL ANNOUNCES RELEASE 50 MILLION BARRELS OF OIL FROM THE STRATEGIC RESERVE TO LOWER PRICES FOR AMERICANS. 

JOE BIDEN onNovember23,2021, had announced that the Department of Energy will make available releases of50 million barrels of Oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve to lower the prices for Americans.

It is indicated that within the Internal Politics aspect in USA, Joe Bidenwantedto secureits electability fortheMidtermElections as well as the 2024 Elections in theSenate- House of Representatives as well as the Presidential Elections 2024 in the United States.

This Uniliteral action by the USA, had great impact to the Opec Oil Producers Especially Saudi Arabia, whose State's Budget revenue depends on the selling of its respective Oil Production. 

In response Saudi Arabia led Oil Cartel OPEC's announcement on October 5th, 2022, that it was cutting 2 (Two) million barrels per day, which drive up the oil price just a month before Midterm Elections causing JOE BIDEN upset and angry.

The Democrats in Washington was accusing Russia Saudi of aligning itself with Russia. 

Remarks :

So there are 2(two) Significant Actions made by USA, in releasing50million Oil from its Strategy Petroleum Strategic,andresponded by Saudi Arabia,ledcartel OpecOil Produces,whereSaudi cut 2 Million Barrels of Oil per day,whichsuch SignificantActions were both made to Secure both of its Energy Supplies.

 

However, sincethis Actions was made due to Shortage of the Global Oil causing Increase Price of the Oil. which emergedue theIncreasing Escalation Geo- Politics Tensions between Russia Versus NATO, EU, Western Countries led byUSA withinthe Ukraine Hemisphere. it isreally impactingthe Global Oil Price in Oil Market.

In the Mainstream Media, Joe Biden, emphasized that Saudi Arabia would bear the consequences.

• GERMANY FLOATING LNG TERMINAL.

FIRST FLOATING LNG TERMINAL COMPLETED 

We noticed from the media, that Germany has completed the speedy construction of infrastructure and leasing of The First Floating LNG Terminal which was to receive Liquid Natural Gas (LNG) to secure its energy supplies over the coming winter months.

          THE FIRST JETTY COMPLETED IN NORTHERN GERMANY - Wilhelmshaven. 

The first jetty for arrival of LNG has been completed in Northern Germany Wilhelmshaven, with first delivery set to arrive in Mid-January 2023.

                   JETTY ALLOWS MOORING OF THE FIRST COMPLETED FRSU 

The Jetty will allow the mooring of a special ship - a floating storage and regasification Unit ("FSRU"), which collects the LNG from the LNG Tankers and regasifies it before feeding it to the pipeline on land. 

that prior to the end of 2022, the First FSRU is due to be in operation to regasify LNG, arriving from the LNG Tankers from around the world.

The First FRSU, called the Esperanza is scheduled to arrive with a full load in about a month to be unloaded.

• GERMANY WORKING FOR RENTING  5 (Five) Floating LNG terminals. 

 The German government is working for renting 5 (Five) Floating LNG Terminals to import Liquid Natural Gas (LNG), so called Floating Storage and Regasification Units (FRSU).   

• TWICE THE COST OF THE ESTIMATE BUDGET 2022

It is indicated from our research on the Website, including Reuter, that the whole project is currently budgeted: 

at Euro 6.56 billion up from Euro3 billion on the 2022 Budget, which figure was confirmed by the Ministry according to Reuters.

• GERMAN SEEKS ALTERNATIVE LNG SOURCES 

This is to seek alternative to Russian Pipeline Nord Stream, where Germany had relied for years until supplies was stopped due to the Russian and Ukrainian War Crisis.

A pier at Wilhelmshaven has been expanded to provide a mooring place for a Floating LNG Storage Facilities and Regasification Unit (FSRU), which is the central component for Transporting LNG vis sea and transferring to the land.

• CAPACITY VOLUME OF EACH FSRU 

According to the news, the German government is working to make available:

5 (Five) Floating LNG Terminals in the German Ports, each having capacity of at least 5 (Five) Billion M3 Per Year.               

The Terminal at Wilhelmshaven, and another at Brunsbuttel, are scheduled to be operational early Next Year 2023.   

The 3rd and 4th Floating LNG Terminal to be opened at the Ports of Stade and Lubmin, are expected operational by the end of 2023.

A green Member in of the German Parliament in the Budgetary Committee said the costs and the risks of the LNG projects needs more clarification.  

From our research in the Websites, it indicates there are 60 FSRU existing worldwide, many of them are in a long-term deployment.

• CHINA and Qatar SIGN LNG LONG TERM CONTRACT worth $60bn  

• QATAR to send Sinopec 4 (FOUR) million tons of LNG per Year from 2026
• Agreement made as China Seeks to Bolster Energy Security

• QATAR RESPONSE USA UNILATERAL ACTION

In response to the latest situation as impact arising from the Russian-Ukraine Crisis War, where USA Unilaterally releases 50 million barrels out of its Strategic Oil Reserves, Qatar had signed with China a Long-Term LNG Contract, on November 21, 2022 as reportedly REUTERS.

In this event, Qatar's Energy State Owned Petroleum Company, was represented by the Qatar's Energy Minister and Head of Qatar Energy, and Sinopec was represented by Ma Yongsheng, Sinopec's Chairman.  

This Long-Term LNG Supply Contracts is one of the Country's largest in terms of Volume.   

 

      

#episode3 - NATO - Training 10,000 Ukrainian Troops Annually for more th...

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NATO was Training the average of 10,000 Ukrainian Troops Annually for more than 8 years since 2014 as cited by Daniel Michaels in the Wall Street Journal dated April 13, 2022.

There is sort of a Window between 2014 and 2022.

• MAIDAN DEMONSTRATION - 2014 Starting December 2013.

In the year 2014 there was the "Maidan Demonstration" at theMaidan Square (Independence Square)at the city of Kyiv, Ukraine, which erupts into Riots.

The Demonstrations occupied the Parliament Hall in Kyiv, where they demanded for the resignation of the Pro - Russian Ukrainian President.

The Ukraine Pro – Russian President fled outside the Country.

• ANNEXATION OF CRIMEA By RUSSIA

Putin was outrage by such overthrow of the Pro - Russian - Ukrainian President and spontaneously,ordered the Russian Military to invade Crimea, claiming to protect the RussianEthnics, who speaksRussian livingin the Eastern Ukraine in Crimea. Putin also claims the Annexation of Crimea was to protect CrimeaSignificantMilitaryAssets

• REFERENDUM TO JOIN RUSSIA 

Crimea Parliament scheduled referendum to join Russia on March 16, 2014.

The result of the Referendum was 97% of the Voters, choose joining Russia.

The Local Interim Government of Ukraine in Kyiv object such Referendum. 

• U.S. and EU IMPOSED SANCTIONS

United States and EU did not recognize such Referendum Results and imposed asset freeze and travel bans against numerous of Russian Officials and members of the Crimean Parlaiment who promoted the Referendum. 

Accordingly, there was a Big Differences of perception between Russian and the USA, Western European Countries relating to the Crimea issue.  

• NATO BUKHAREST SUMMIT APRIL 3RD, 2008

It goes back to NATO BUKHAREST SUMMIT APRIL 3RD, 2008– NATO's Final Declaration inviting Georgia and Ukraine to join NATO members

• NEUTRAL ZONE

Putin was struggling for Ukraine to be a Neutral Zone, since Ukraine is close to the Potential Natural Gas Deposit Well owned by Russia within the Russian Territory.

• NATURAL GAS PIPELINE TRANSMISSION

 By History Russia was supplying its Natural Gas from its Potential Natural Gas Well to German and the West European and East European Countries Via the Nord Stream 1 Pipeline.  

                             NORD STREAM 1 was completed and run-in operation since 2011 - 2012 

• Germany depends on 40% of its Natural Gas from Russia.

• Other Western European Countries were also relying on 40% of its Natural Gas from Russia, except Holland, which has its own Natural Gas Resources in Groningen.

NORD STREAM 2  

NORD STREAM 2 Pipeline NaturalGas was constructed, Company finance 50% - 51%, by a Joint Venture Company consisting ofGazprom(State Oil Gas Company) - Majority 51% and the remaining are owned by Western Oil Gas Private Company, Shell(Joint Venture Holland and British Joint Venture,Enim(French Private Oil Gas Company),Uniper - Wintershall(Germany Oil Gas Private Company,OMV(Austrian Private Oil Gas Company).

• NATO SUMMIT BUKHAREST April 3rd, year 2008 

Putin emphasizedthat the NATO Expansion from West Europe towards the East Europe,particularly Ukraine, who was invited to be a member of NATO, in the NATO'sSUMMIT BUKHAREST HUNGARY, April 3, 2008, thrua:

NATO's FINAL Declaration : 

was a "Real Direct Threat" to its National Security Interest, since Ukraine is in the Border line of the Russian Potential Natural Gas Well owned by Russia located within the Territory of Russia. 

• WASHINGTON ELITE POLITICS REJECTED NORD STREAM 2 Project

The Washington Elite Politics rejects and object the Construction NORD STREAM 2 Project from the very start, from the Era of Obama, Trump until Joe Biden Administration. 

U.S. imposed sanctions to the Construction Companies building such NORD STREAM 2 below   the Baltic Sea. 

• REAL CONTRADICTORY AND DILEMMA

Each and every Countries, where the Big Oil Gas Private Oil Gas Companies abovementioned, being member of the Joint Venture Company, with GazProm (Russia State Oil Company) as the Majority Shareholders,

are members of

NATO and EU, for which we are all facing a Real Contradictory and Dilemma situation, where High Tension of Geopolitics elements, among the Big Nations are highly involved.

Based on the information we get from Daniel Michaels in the Wall Street Journal dated April 13, 2022., it shows that:

 even though "De Jure" Ukraine is not NATO Member, however "De Jure" NATO (and its Allies led by USA), assist 10,000 Ukrainian Troops Annually for 8 Years since 2014.    

 HEGEMONY IN THE FOSSIL FUEL ENERGY

The above Washington Elite Politics Rejection & Imposing Sanctions on the Construction of Nord Stream 2 as described above, strongly indicates that :

the Washington's Elit Politics are considering Russian Potential Natural Gas, which supplies Natural Gas to Western Europe and Eastern Europe are threatening USA Hegemony in the Fossil Fuel Energy in the Western Hemisphere of Western Europe and Eastern Europe.  

 CONCLUSION:

Both the USA and Russia are engaged   in Highly Escalated Cold War: 

where USA wanted to avoid Russia being the winner in being the Major Supplier of the Natural Gas to Western Europe and Eastern Europe. 

Whereas on the other side, Russia is claiming and struggling that Ukraine to be a Neutral Zone, since the: 

• NATO Summit 2008,
• the "Maidan Square Revolution" in the year 2014 which overthrew Pro-Russian, Ukrainian President, and
• NATO's (and its Allies led by USA) Ukrainian Training at least 10,000 Troops, annually, for more than 8 years since 2014, as illustrated by: Daniel Michaels in the Wall Street Journal dated April 13, 2022.

 Jakarta December 2, 2022

#AgungSupomoSuleiman

#episode2 - Snapshots Relations Among Big Power Nations - USA Elite Po...

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HEGEMONY USA Versus RUSSIA protecting its National Security Interest - Potential Natural Gas

Scrambling Ukraine to be a Neutral Zone 

The Elite Politics in Washington are striving hard to maintain control on the Hegemony - Fossil Fuels Energy Globally in the Infrustructure Oil Gas from the Upstream to Down Stream, including the Exploration, Exploitation, Production, Refinery, transporting Via Pipeline, Transporting Ocean - Via LNG Tankers, The LNG Receiving Terminals, Storage Facilities.  

On the other side, Soviet Union (USSR) does no longer exist. The remaining Eastern Europe Communist Country is Russia.

Russia has got a Potential Natural Gas Deposit - which by History supplied Western European Countries, which includes Germany who depends on 40% - 50% of its Natural Gas from Russia. 

 

The other Western Countries are also depending on 40% of their Natural Gas from Russia, except Holland, who has got its own Natural Gas Deposit in Groningen. 

•  SOLID EVIDENCE - SHOWN FROM COMPLETION OF NORD STREAM 2

From the completion of NORD STREAM 2completed constructed, financed 50% to 51% by members of the shareholders of this NORD STREAM 2 GAS PIPELINE on September 2021, it is aSolid Evidence as demonstrated from the members of the Joint Company fromtheWestern European Countries were involved and engaged in the construction of thisNORD STREAM 2.

As been described earlier in our previous Episode, the Members of the Joint Venture Company, called"NORD STREAM AG"who owned this NORD STREAM 2 are Gazprom (Oil Gas State Company from Russia) being Majority Shareholders 51%,

Whereas the remaining 49% shareholders were Western European Oil Gas Private Companies namely:

Shell(Joint Venture between Holland Private Oil Gas Company and British Private Oil Gas Company Engie (a French Private Oil Gas Company), Uniper - Wintershall (GermanPrivateOilCompany),OMV (Austrian private oil gas company).

The core activities include exploration, production, transport, storage, processing, marketing of hydrocarbons as well as generation and marketing of heat and electric power.

Members of this Joint Venture Company NORD STREAM AG, are also financing 50% or  51% of the Construction of this Nord Stream 2 Gas Pipeline.

 To  give a clear picture, there are actually:     

2 (TWO) Natural Gas Pipeline :

        1) Nord Stream 1 Completed 1911 - 1912.

                    2)  NORD STREAM 2 Completed on September 2021.

• OBJECTION - REJECTION FROM USA

From the very start of the NORD Stream 2 Project, USA objected and rejected this NORD STREAM 2.

U.S. imposed upon the constructionCompanies Constructingthis NORD STREAM 2. Despite of USA imposed sanctions, NORD STREAM 2 had been completed on September 2022. However, NORD STREAM 2 did not operate,sinceGermany did not issue the Certificate for operation to this NORD Stream 2,

Upon USA rejecting and objecting this NORD STREAM 2, it is strongly indicated that the Elite Politics in Washington wants to maintain its Hegemony in the Fossils Fuel Energy Infrastructure in the Western European Hemisphere.

In reality Russia is claiming thattheirNational Security Interests of their Potential Natural Gas Resources is being"Threaten" byUSA/NATO/Western Countries/EU moves on NATO Expansion andEUExpansion fromEuropean Countries tothe Eastern Europe Countries and inviting Ukraine to become member of NATOthru BUKHAREST NATO SUMMIT April 3, 2008.

#episode1 introduction - Perception

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Ukraine Missiles Stray To Poland

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Geo Politics : The Answer Why Pelosi visits Taiwan

 

• PELOSI follows Mike Pompeo Vision described in front of Hudson Institution.

The reason why Pelosi ex-Chairman Congress visited Taiwan, according to our observation is that she was following the Speach Vision of -Ex-Director of CIA -Mike Pompeo, thorns in Front of the Hudson Institue -Think Thank,

In such occasion, Mike Pompeo emphasized that in order to maintain USA Hegemony in the Global - Fossils Energy-Infrustructure Chain from Upstream to Down Stream, which includes Refinery, export, transportation, onshore thru Pipeline, Via Ocean - Sea - LNG Tankers, Storage Facilities etc.

👉👉👉USA Elite Politics must reject CHINA in collaboration with Russia, in the EURASIA, becoming the Major Control in the Fossils - Fuel Energy competing USA.

                    What he meant by EURASIA is that : 

                       By Russia,  in the Western Europe, as well as Eastern Europe, and

   by the People's Republic of China's in the South China Sea.

• VISION - STRATEGY 

The VISION -Strategy for USA - to maintain its Strong Basis, there must be or 3 (Three) Light House, established:

1) In the Middle East - The Light House is Israel

2) In Europe, the Light House is Ukraine

3) In Southeast Asia, the Light House is Taiwan,   

In Taiwan, Mike Pompeo said that USA must recognize Taiwan as an Independent Nation. 

Not long after the above presentation, Pelosi's visited Taiwan on August 2, 2022. 

Mike Pompeo also visited Taiwan, not long after such above presentation.

REMARKS :

We understand that USA until this moment is still admitting and recognizing "One China Policy", with the understanding that USA Foreign Policy only recognize The People's Republic of China. 

The controversial visit by Pelosi puts the White House in a very delicate situation of diplomacy with China.

China strongly opposed upon this controversial visit by Pelosi. This was really a sensitive issue, where even before Pelosi's place landed in Taiwan, Chinese Fighter Jets flee close to the median line separating Taiwan and China, according to the news in the TV media.

When President Joe Biden met the People's Republic of China President Xi Jin Ping in BALI G20 SUMMIT 2022,   Joe Biden   emphasized that USA recognize One China Policy.

This is a real good move made by Biden to ease the high tension between USA and China before the BALI G20 Summit meeting,